Friday, July 12, 2019


As a result of these trends, 16 states will see a shift in congressional reapportionment in 2020, according to a new report by Election Data Services. The biggest seat gains will likely be seen in Florida and Texas. Texas is likely to gain three congressional seats, which would give the state 39 seats in Congress. Florida is expected to gain up to two additional congressional seats, bringing its total delegation to 29 starting in 2022.

The citizenship question would have cost Texas and Florida new seats in the House of Representatives.  The citizenship question would have cause thousands of undocumented workers to not answer the census, thereby reducing the population of high undocumented worker states like Texas and Florida.  By chance both are strong Republican strong holds.  After redistricting Texas will likely have two more Republicans in the House and one Democrat.

I cannot imagine any Texas Republican law maker supported the citizenship question knowing it would reduce the number of House seats assigned to Texas.

Also remember with Texas, Florida Arizona, and Montana gaining House seats this favors the electoral college for the Republicans.  Had Trump forced the questions Texas and Florida would have fewer electoral college votes.


Anonymous said...

You think that the number of house seats matters to the two parties but it does not. The number of seats that represents their party is what matters to them. Better no additional seats then seats that will benefit the opposition.

BobbyWC said...

I agree with you, but in Arizona, Texas and Florida the state legislature is going to give those seats to Republicans. That is my point. I do believe TExas will be forced to give one of the three to a Democrat.

The citizenship question could have easily cost the Republicans 5 electoral college votes and 5 Seats in the House of Representatives

Bobby WC