Saturday, June 22, 2019


THE WINNING TEAM BASED ON A STRATEGIC VOTE AS TO WHAT IS BEST TO MOVE BROWNSVILLE FORWARD

I suspect there are probably fewer than 100 people who have not made up their mind yet, so advertising today may not do much.

The numbers for the run off and the original election look like about the same.  I suspect there were very few voters who did not vote in round one who voted in round two.  So the key is where did the loser's votes go?

I think Trey is safe.  I actually have a number which is not 100% based on an analytical model, but based on where people turned out in early voting.  I will release that projection at about 6:55 p.m.

John seems  to be a shoo-in.  He was just too close to an outright win for John to be concerned.  The blind female vote will not hurt him.

Nurith is the one to watch.   The question is did Michael Rodriguez get his supporters to flip for Rick.  The first thing we know about his supporters is they rejected Rick based on his representation of  the district.  As to Nurith it was not so much as a rejection as it was a I prefer and know Michael.  So there is an element of Rodriguez's supporters who will never vote for Rick.

Those voters, especially the women will vote for Nuirth.  I am not big on polluting our neighborhoods with signs, but it was a must for Nurith.  Sorry, but I was raised in NY and know Nurith is a female name.  This fact is lost on many of the voters down here.  So her picture helped ID her as a female.  Second, she needed name recognition.  It worked in round one.

William Garza's voters rejected Rick and Michael.  The female votes may just go for Nurith.  I do not believe they will go for Rick or be influenced by Michael Rodriguez.  

Nurith and Rick is the race to watch.  

EARLY VOTING HAS BEEN COUNTED

Yesterday from the Elections office.

"Please be advised that the Early Vote Central Count convened at 5:00 pm this evening and completed its work at approximately 7:05 pm.  There were not any issues encountered during the process."


VOTE TREY, JOHN AND NURITH

If you have not voted, please get out and vote for Trey, John and Nurith.  It will guarantee no one has a four person majority. Plus they are our best option to push Brownsville forward






1 comment:

BobbyWC said...

I write substantively, and while you were busy being a grammar Nazi instead of speaking to the issue, I already made the correction. After I post I go back and do a third edit.

I'm sure you got a good orgasm in your immediate post of the mistake.

Bobby WC