Monday, November 5, 2018


I THINK POLLING IS QUESTIONABLE IN THIS ELECTION, BUT IF THESE NUMBERS ARE CORRECT, THE BLUE WAVE WILL HAPPEN AND ALL  FEMALE BISD CANDIDATES WILL WIN


"Democrats benefit from a massive gender gap that has persisted throughout the fall (women favor Democrats 62% to 35%, while men are about evenly divided, 49% back the Republican, while 48% support the Democrat in their district), a wide lead among political independents (53% for the Democrat to 39% for the Republican), and strong support from black and Latino voters (88% of black voters and 66% of Latino voters favor the Democrats)."

Tuesday night is going to be exciting to watch the returns.  Locally, including the SBOE election will be called by 7:15 p.m.  There may be a BISD election which will go later into the evening.

The following on Trump is interesting.

"Overall, 42% of likely voters say their vote will be to express opposition to the president, while 28% say that it'll be to support him."

Because the turn out includes locally and nationally so many people who have never voted before, they are not included in the polls.  They are for sure an unknown variable.  It is just as likely there are anti-Trump and pro-Trump people voting for the first time.

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