Saturday, April 9, 2016


JOHN KASICH PLAYING THE ODDS

DEPENDING ON THE NEW YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA PRIMARIES WE COULD HAVE TWO BROKERED CONVENTIONS

Again I am feeling good because Bernie Sanders won again today. That makes 8 wins out of the last 9 contests.  On actual elected delegates he is just behind Hillary Clinton.  Winning 8 of the last 9 contests may explain another reality.

In polling John Kasich beats Hillary Clinton every time.  But in the same polling Bernie beats Kasich nearly every time.  In fact Bernie has a double digit lead over Kasich at this time. So here is the problem if the Republicans give the nomination to John Kasich in a brokered convention with Marco Rubio as his VP, current polling gives the election to the Republicans over Hillary Clinton.  Could this simple reality mean that if the Democrats also have a brokered convention that the delegates give the nomination to Bernie Sanders because he can beat John Kasich?

Now of course current polling does not take into account how voters will react to the guy with the fewest delegates winning the Republican nomination.  The Trump voters could stay home, or worse Trump could run as an independent.

Guys I know Hillary and Bill, no matter what the numbers say they will bust balls to make sure she gets the nomination even if it means the Republicans winning the White House and holding on to the Senate.  The Clintons are about the Clintons.  Bill and Hillary see this election as Hillary's right regardless of what the polls show.

For an interesting take on the brokered conventions and how John Kasich could be the nominee see Huffington Post analysis.

Just something to ponder.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

#FEELTHEBERN
#BIRDIESANDERS
#BERNIE2016