Wednesday, July 7, 2010

TROPICAL WAVE HEADING FOR BROWNSVILLE

Most weather reports indicate time is short for this system to develop into a hurricane.  My issue is not wind, but flooding.  So while the odds are this tropical wave will never reach hurricane strength (this could change in a moments notice) the odds are also very favorable for Brownsville getting heavy raines which could result in flooding.  Remember what is happening up river on the Rio Grande and in the mountains of northern Mexico is as important to flood conditions in Brownsville as what is happening in the gulf.

FROM THE CITY OF BROWNSVILLE

Good morning All,

A brief update from the National Weather Service for Brownsville for the next two days.

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING THREAT ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS

THROUGH THURSDAY...

RAINFALL CHANCES WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS TODAY AND

CONTINUE TO REMAIN HIGH TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS DEEP SOUTH

TEXAS AS TROPICAL MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW

PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS DEEP SOUTH

TEXAS TODAY AS MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM

INCREASES. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL

CONTINUE TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND

THUNDERSTORM ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND WIDESPREAD

ON THURSDAY AS THE MAIN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE AREA.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN A THREAT DUE TO THE

HIGH TROPICAL MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE ATMOSPHERE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS

BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE

AREA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES.

SOILS REMAIN VERY SATURATED FROM HURRICANE ALEX LAST WEEK AND ANY

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL HEIGHTEN THE FLOODING POTENTIAL AS

WELL AS RIVER FLOODING POTENTIAL. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED

FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATER TODAY. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF

DEEP SOUTH TEXAS ARE URGED TO STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECAST

FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES.

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