Monday, October 19, 2020


EARLY VOTING REACHES JUST UNDER 21% OF TOTAL QUALIFIED VOTERS
 


TOTAL COUNTY TURNOUT 45475

TOTAL MONDAY TURNOUT 4889

TOTAL BISD TURNOUT Monday's numbers to be released in morning. 





IN TIE VOTE SUPREME COURT ALLOWS FOR MAIL BALLOTS TO BE COUNTED IN PENN. THROUGH FRIDAY SO LONG AS THEY ARE POSTMARKED BY TUESDAY

Chief Justice Roberts shows his desire to protect the institution of the Supreme Court by  creating a tie  which allows Penn, to continue to count absentee ballots through Friday so long as they are postmarked by Tuesday,  I could be wrong but I believe Gorsuch and Roberts will rule with the three Democrats to preserve Obamacare as necessary to protect the Court.  Chief Justice Roberts is pretty consistent about protecting the Court.  On technical issues Gorsuch does not waiver and he will use the technical issue to preserve Obamacare.  If he does not then he is showing he has no respect  for his own precedent. Chief Justice Roberts has a lot of sway over Justice Gorsuch/

There are so many lawsuits, I have no idea how this impacts Texas if at all.  

But here is the problem if another Court of Appeals or State Supreme Court has stayed the count as of election day, a tie in that case will mean the count stops on election day.  Herein lies the problem with our system.  This is a presidential election and how the ballots are counted will vary from state to state.  the Constitution needs to be amended to provide for one system of counting ballots when dealing with the presidential race.  We cannot have different deadlines in different states.



 


TEXAS SURPASSES CALIFONIA IN NUMBER OF COVID DEATHS, EVEN THOUGH 10.51 MILLION MORE PEOPLE LIVE IN CALIFORNIA THAN TEXAS 

 Here we have a clear measure in the difference between how a Democratic state vs. a Republican State handled the crisis.

"Since Oct. 1, the number of people hospitalized because of COVID-19 has risen 34% in Texas after the state relaxed restrictions in mid-September, citing a decrease in hospitalizations."

El Paso is down to 7 ICU beds.  We are next and our inept leaders are doing nothing to slow it down because on the short term the numbers are down.

Herald

TOTAL DEATHS IN CALIFORNIA POPULATION 39.51 MILLION PEOPLE - DEATHS 16,970

TOTAL DEATHS IN TEXAS POPULATION 29 MILLION PEOPLE - DEATHS 17,014

WITHIN 30 DAYS TEXAS WILL HAVE MORE CONFIRMED CASES THAN CALIFORNIA

Confirmed cases in California 870,791

Confirmed cases in Texas 823,779

Current difference is 47,012 more cases in California

The news media misleads on all of these stories because they never put anything in context. When Texas has more deaths than California which has 10.51 million more people than Texas, and is approaching  the same number of cases, it is fair to say even if things appear to be slowing in Texas, we are a failure when it comes to Covid.  Numbers and percentages mean nothing without context. 

Winter is coming people; be prepared; make the rules you believe will make you and your family safest.  You cannot control your neighbors.  But you can control how you act and who you allow near you and your family.

THE FINAL RIP ON THE BARS WILL SAY - "BROUGHT TO YOU BY EDDIE TREVINO"  HE SIMPLY DOES NOT HAVE THE SMARTS TO UNDERSTAND CONTEXT


IT IS TIME WE MAKE OUR OWN RULES FOR SELF PRESERVATION - WE CANNOT STOP THOSES WHO DO NOT CARE

On the bars opening.  I have no control over the issue.  But I do control who can enter my home.  I have told two people who I know are going to go to the bars, my home is off limits.  They are free to go to the bars, and I am free to ban them from my home.  It is that simple. 

The reality is almost no one comes to my house at this  time.  I have allowed, under the rule of no more than 9, my roommate to have his grandkids over to use the pool.  The kids are good.  They keep their facial covering on until they are outside.  They wash their hands when they enter my house.  They keep their distance from me.  I am in the pool for safety reasons only. 

The other day someone called me for a ride to the store.  After I said no they asked why.  I said "what did I tell you would happen if you ate inside of a restaurant?"  Well she eats in restaurants.  She made a choice.  She was told I would no longer give her rides if she eats inside.  She made a choice.  I enforced my rule.

LETS GET REAL ABOUT RESTAURANT PICK-UP

Long before Covid everyone in NY knew take out Chinese was the best.  Restaurant Chinese food was always second rate.  My entire life you call in your order and go pick it up.  Most of the pick up restaurants were pick up or delivery only.  They never had tables.  These restaurants have survived for decades doing business this way.  We just need to adjust.  This is not new.

IF PEOPLE WANT TO SAY TO ME I AM NOT WELCOME AROUND THEM BECAUSE I CHOSE TO FLY ON A PLANE, FINE.  PEOPLE NEED TO MAKE RULES WHICH ARE BEST FOR THEM

I am now forced wear a facial covering whenever I am out front.  I have neighbors who just walk over and get very close without any facial coverings.  I am not going to tell them what to do.  We are neighbors and have to get along.  The solution is simple, at all times when I am out front I have a facial covering on. 




 


IN LARGEST COUNTIES REPUBLICANS ARE OUT VOTING DEMOCRATS IN EARLY VOTING, AND CAMERON COUNTY HISTORY

 Among the 10 largest counties Denton and Collin, strong Republican strongholds exceed 30% of registered voters.  It is not clear to me if these numbers include the number of mail ballots received in each county.

Texas Tribune

Now percentage is a bit deceptive.  30% of what?  Harris County which is the largest county in Texas only has a 23.6% turnout.  But because of the size of the county, significantly more people have voted than in Denton or Collin County with a higher percentage turnout. Even if the mail ballots are not included they are not enough to bring Harris County to 30+% turnout as of the 17th.

I do not believe if the  difference is mail ballots, meaning there are more Democratic mail ballots, it will make up the difference to 30+% turnout. 

THE DEMOCRATS SHOULD BE CONCERNED DEMOCRATS AT A STATE LEVEL ARE NOT TURNING OUT AT THE SAME LEVEL AS REPUBLICANS

In the posted link as of the 17th Hidalgo County is out voting Cameron County.

A record turnout is meaningless if the number of voters has increased over the lasT four years.  

In 2016 Cameron County had 197,726 registered voters.  As of Sunday it had 218,980,  So an increase in the number of voters should be expected.  This does not mean compared to past presidential races we will turnout in larger numbers.  This is why I provide the chart going back to 1988.  the goal is to beat 1992.

For now, based on percentages Cameron County is behind other key parts of the state.

 


Sunday, October 18, 2020




EARLY VOTING DROPS OFF  - CAMERON COUNTY AVERAGING 18.5 % TURNOUT

TOTAL COUNTY TURNOUT 40586

TOTAL SUN. TURNOUT 2241

TOTAL BISD TURNOUT 16860

As of today there are 218,980 qualified registered voters in Cameron County.   We are currently at 18.5% turnout.  In 2016, the turnout was 46.43% for the total election. 

BISD SEES DROP OFF ON SUNDAY TO ONLY 1019 VOTERS




 


WHO IS REALLY VOTING, THE CASE OF HARRIS AND DENTON COUNTIES TEXAS, AND THE MINNESOTA SENATE RACE

There is no exit polling for the early vote or mail ballots.  Everyone is in the dark.  Predicting some elections is like predicting rain in the middle of a hurricane.  You can later gloat you were right, but gloating because you predicted rain in the middle of a hurricane does not make you informed.  It just means you are calling an election based on the obvious, and kind of makes you look stupid if you gloat about it.

The polling is everywhere, and with no evidence as to who is voting early or by mail it is hard to know exactly who is voting.  All we know for sure is, both sides seem to be very animated and are voting.

HARRIS COUNTY IS SOLID DEMOCRAT AND HAS THE HIGHEST TURNOUT IN TEXAS

Based on 2018, one can infer this means the Democrats are turning out in large numbers

DENTON COUNTY IS SOLID REPUBLICAN, NOT THE SECOND LARGEST COUNTY IN TEXAS BUT HAS THE SECOND LARGEST TURNOUT

Based on 2018, one can infer the Republicans are turning out in large numbers. But we know from 2016, to 2018, Denton County became a bit more Democrat so who knows for sure.

THE MINNESOTA US SENATE RACE IS THE MOST INTERESTING

This race should have been a walk in the park for the Democratic incumbent, but it has turned into a nailbiter.  Blacks are turning out in large numbers for the Republican who is black.  His message is "blacks are tired of the unkept promises of  the Democrats." His message is resonating and now the race is a virtual tie.  

This tells me at least in Minnesota more blacks than normal will be voting for Trump.  I can tell you the white plantation Democrats do not get it and never will.  The idea blacks can be independent minded eludes the white plantation Democrats.  

It is sad a race which should have been a walk in the park is now tied because blacks have decided the plantation Democrats now have to earn their vote.  I say good for the blacks demanding their vote be earned instead of assumed.

Saturday, October 17, 2020




NUMBERS DROP FOR SATURDAY BUT STILL ON TRACK FOR RECORD TURNOUT

Do not assume who is voting.  Tomorrow under Balancing the Issues the proof Republicans are turning out strong in Republican strongholds the same as Democrats are turning out strong in Democratic strongholds.


TOTAL EARLY VOTES TO DATE 38350

TOTAL EARLY VOTES SAT. 4376

BISD IS HOLDING ITS OWN - TOTAL TO DATE 15841, TOTAL SAT. 1912


Remember not everyone who votes in the county gets to vote in the BISD race.



 


ICE CUBE SETS RECORD STRAIGHT AS TO WHY HE WORKED WITH THE TRUMP CAMPAIGN


CNN'S CHRIS CUOMO LET HIS WHITE SUPREMACY SLIP OUT AS HE JUST IGNORES ICE  CUBE TO PUSH WHAT HE THINKS IS BEST FOR BLACKS

I have said this before, whites do not get to tell blacks what is best for them.  White Supremacists like Chris Cuomo and Joe Biden will never get it.  They are the great white hope and refuse to accept they do not have a voice when it comes to black Americans. Their job is to listen. 

Yes I voted for Biden because as bad as things are he was still better than Trump.  But the Democrats may get their comeuppance in the Michigan Senate race as black Americans are turning out for the black Republican candidate over the Democratic incumbent.  White plantation liberal Democrats just refuse to accept they are not the saviors of blacks.

BACKDROP

It does not matter whether you agree or  disagree with Ice Cube.  He is an influencer and to ignore him is stupid. 

Ice Cube created "Contract for Black America." In it he takes a swipe at Obama and Kamala Harris as not being the blacks who are part of the contract. "I'm going there for Black Americans, the ones who are descendants of slaves."

CNN - the video is very telling as Chris Cuomo refuses to acknowledge the Biden campaign refused to meet with Ice Cube.  Cuomo just stays on the attack telling Ice Cuba how to think.

Because the white plantation liberals refuse to speak with blacks who are independent minded they are clueless over this issue of "descendants of slaves."  There is a very large part of the black vote which does not consider Obama the first black president and Kamala Harris as the first black VP candidate.  Neither are  descendants of slaves."

THE FACT OF THE MATTER IS, IN CLASSIC JOE BIDEN FASHION HE TOLD ICE CUBE THEY CAN TALK ABOUT "CONTRACT FOR BLACK AMERICANS" AFTER THE ELECTION.  DISMISSIVE JOE, ALWAYS TELLING BLACKS TO WAIT THEIR TURN.

NO MATTER HOW MUCH I DISLIKE TRUMP, TRUMP'S TEAM AGREED TO MEET WITH ICE CUBE IMMEDIATELY AND THE FAKE NEWS WHITE PRESS TRASHED ICE CUBE FOR TAKING TRUMP UP ON THE OFFER

 ""I didn't run to go work with any campaign. Both campaigns contacted me," Cube said. "Both campaigns wanted to talk to me about the Contract with Black America. One campaign said, 'We love what you have, but let's really dig into after the election.' And one campaign said 'We love what you have, do you mind talking to us about it?' And that's what I did, so I didn't run to nobody."

TRUMP'S BEST WEAPON AGAINST BIDEN IS BIDEN.  NO MATTER HOW MANY TIMES BIDEN MESSES UP THE PRESS WILL RUN COVER FOR HIM.  BLACK AMERICA IS COMING TO ICE CUBE'S DEFENSE

The hatred, which is well deserved, against Trump is so intense, the white plantation Democrats refuse to call out Biden when he messes up with the black vote, again and again and again.  If Trump wins instead of blaming themselves for their silence these same while plantation Democrats will blame the blacks  for being independent minded instead of lemmings for Biden.

Friday, October 16, 2020


EARLY VOTING CONTINUES TO  SET RECORDS

TOTAL COUNTY EARLY VOTING TO  DATE: 33974

TOTAL FRIDAY VOTE: 6973

BISD TOTAL AS OF THURSDAY 1107



 


BISD TURNOUT GOOD, PEOPLE ARE FLIPPING THE BALLOT

If you compare the total votes at the library for Tuesday and Wednesday with the BISD total, people are clearly flipping the ballot and voting in all races.  Remember some people who vote at the library are also voting in elections which are outside part of the BISD's jurisdiction such as TSC and BND.





 

Thursday, October 15, 2020


EARLY VOTING CONTINUES IN RECORD NUMBERS


TOTAL EARLY VOTING 27001

EARLY VOTING DAY THREE 7382

TOTAL EARLY VOTING BISD pending

NO NEED TO WAIT ON LINE - LOOK AT WHERE THE TURNOUT IS LOWER AND VOTE THERE

I was surprised to see the Elections Office is not listed as a polling place, but the courthouse is.